5 drivers most likely to win in Azerbaijan

The Azerbaijan Grand Prix always delivers chaos, and this year's Baku visit promises more of the same. With 2026's new-generation cars still being understood, the track's 2.2km straight and tight castle section place a premium on driver confidence and nerve.

Why it matters:

Baku has produced more dramatic moments than almost any other venue. With the field closer than ever under the new regulations, the margin between a race-defining win and disaster is razor-thin.

The Details:

The five drivers with the strongest case for victory:

• Charles Leclerc — The Ferrari driver owns this circuit. Two wins and multiple poles give him an unmatched feel for Baku's braking zones. Ferrari's top-speed strength plays directly into his hands.
• Max Verstappen — Never count out the reigning champion. Red Bull has faced a stiffer fight this year, but Verstappen's street circuit instincts remain elite, and he thrives on chaos.
• Lando Norris — McLaren has been the benchmark team this season, and Norris is in near-flawless form. Baku's mix of slow corners and long straights suits McLaren's balanced package.
• Oscar Piastri — The Australian has repeatedly shown he can mix it with the best on street circuits. His late-braking overtakes into turn 1 are a signature, and he's yet to earn a Baku podium.
• George Russell — Mercedes has built one of the most complete packages on the grid. Russell's qualifying brilliance could be the key to controlling the race from the front.

What's next:

With the title fight entering its final stretch, Baku could reshape the championship. Expect strategic gambles, safety car chaos, and a finish nobody predicted — because that's simply what Baku does.