Jenson Button Predicts Max Verstappen's F1 Future

Jenson Button believes Max Verstappen is not the type of driver to take a sabbatical from Formula 1, predicting the reigning champion will either continue racing or leave the sport for good. Verstappen's future is under intense scrutiny due to his vocal criticism of the 2026 technical regulations and Red Bull's current lack of competitiveness, which has failed to yield a podium in the opening three rounds of the season.

Why it matters:

Verstappen's career decisions hold immense power to reshape the entire F1 driver market. As the sport's dominant force and biggest star, his potential departure or team switch would trigger a seismic chain reaction, impacting every top team's strategy for years to come. His dissatisfaction also highlights a growing tension between drivers and the direction of future regulations.

The details:

• Button's Assessment: The 2009 World Champion stated on Sky F1 that based on his knowledge of Verstappen's character, a temporary break is unlikely. "He's either racing or he's not," Button said, adding, "I think this will be his last 'career' in F1. I don't think he'll take a year out and come back."
• Verstappen's Frustrations: The Dutchman's discontent stems from two main sources: the anticipated driving style of the 2026 cars, which will heavily rely on battery deployment, and Red Bull's current performance deficit, leaving him unable to fight at the front.
• Key Personnel Loss: Adding to the uncertainty, Verstappen's long-time race engineer, Gianpiero Lambiase, will join McLaren in 2028. Button referenced Verstappen's past comments about being inseparable from Lambiase, noting the move adds another layer of intrigue to his future.
• Market Catalyst: Button emphasized that all driver market movements will ultimately revolve around Verstappen's choice. "Max is always going to be the centre of attention because he's in a car, at the moment, that's not performing," he said.

What's next:

The spotlight will remain fixed on Verstappen and Red Bull's ability to improve their car's performance. Every public comment from the champion about the 2026 rules or his satisfaction will be dissected. His decision, expected well before his contract ends in 2028, will be the domino that sets the entire driver market in motion, with top teams like Mercedes likely positioning themselves to capitalize should he become available.