Hamilton's Best Chance to End Podium-Free Streak

Lewis Hamilton is poised to break his podium drought, potentially securing his first Ferrari podium, thanks in part to recent struggles faced by McLaren's Oscar Piastri. This opportunity comes as Hamilton shows increasing adaptation and strong performance with his SF-25.

Why it matters:

Lewis Hamilton, a seven-time world champion, is currently facing his first podium-free season in his illustrious F1 career. A podium finish would not only mark a significant milestone with Ferrari but also validate his growing synergy with the team's SF-25, offering a much-needed boost for both driver and Scuderia as the 2025 season draws to a close.

The Details:

• Piastri's Struggles: McLaren's Oscar Piastri has admitted to ongoing adaptation issues with his car, leading to a significant dip in form over the last four races. This has caused him to lose ground in the championship fight and relinquish his lead to Lando Norris after the Mexico GP.
• Hamilton's Resurgence: Hamilton has demonstrated full adaptation to Ferrari's SF-25. In Mexico, he out-qualified George Russell, Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen, and Piastri, securing P3. Despite a penalty-triggering incident with Verstappen, he showed pace capable of fighting for silverware.
• Ferrari's Technical Steps: Over the past two weekends, Ferrari has made crucial improvements in execution, particularly in optimizing car setup between Friday and Saturday. The team adopted a stiff, low-to-the-ground setup on the lateral axle, gaining benefits in medium and high-speed corners.
• Setup Rationale: This aggressive setup in Mexico, where a smooth asphalt allowed for lower ride heights to maximize downforce from Venturi channels, proved effective. It helped recover downforce lost due to thinner air conditions at altitude.
• Qualifying and Race Performance: Ferrari's improved setup led to strong qualifying results (Leclerc P2, Hamilton P3) and impressive race pace, with both drivers holding positions until pit stops. Leclerc even fended off Verstappen in the closing laps of the Mexico GP, aided by a late VSC.

Looking Ahead:

With four rounds remaining, Lewis Hamilton has several opportunities to secure his first podium of the season. His improved performance, coupled with Ferrari's technical advancements, puts him in a strong position.

• Brazil: The upcoming Brazilian Grand Prix, potentially under wet conditions, could favor Hamilton, known for his exceptional wet-weather driving. Being a sprint weekend also offers additional chances to capitalize on adaptation skills.
• Qatar: Technically, the Lusail International Circuit in Qatar presents the best opportunity. The SF-25's need for a stiff, low-to-the-ground setup to maximize downforce aligns perfectly with the circuit's characteristics.
• Abu Dhabi: The season finale in Abu Dhabi could also be a strong contender, as Ferrari has historically performed well on that layout.
• Challenges: Brazil's bumpy asphalt might require higher ride heights, which has been a weakness for Ferrari. Las Vegas's cooler temperatures could favor Mercedes.

While success depends on fine-tuning and conditions, the remaining races offer Hamilton his best shot to end his podium-less streak and cap off his inaugural Ferrari season with a strong result.