Baku low-drag mastery points to Mercedes as the team to fear in Azerbaijan GP

Mercedes heads to Baku as the team to beat after Kimi Antonelli's wins at Monza and Spain, two circuits that reward low drag without sacrificing rear stability. Baku's 2.2km straight is the longest on the calendar, and under the 2026 power unit rules, energy deployment is a genuine differentiator. The W17 has the balance nailed, making Antonelli and Russell the drivers to watch.

Why it matters:

Baku demands a compromise between straight-line speed and downforce through the castle section. Mercedes' efficient underfloor allows a trimmed rear wing without losing traction, a trade the team has been winning.

The details:

• Mercedes won at Monza and Spain, both low-drag layouts.
• Verstappen's four podiums in five races show Red Bull is a real threat.
• McLaren is pushing resources to Oscar Piastri after his struggles, but the MCL40 was only third best at Monza.
• Baku's heavy braking zones stress thermal management; energy deployment must avoid clipping before Turn 1.
• Mercedes delayed Russell's engine penalty for the new ADUO spec; Ferrari still lacks straight-line speed.

What's next:

Qualifying is Friday, race Saturday. If Mercedes' low-drag form carries over, Antonelli could extend his title charge. Red Bull's recent upswing is the most credible threat.