Ferrari boss Fred Vasseur predicts F1's 2026 rule changes could lead to "left-field" winners, much like Brawn GP's unexpected success in 2009. He foresees dramatic performance swings between teams, acknowledging the significant uncertainty of the biggest rule overhaul in F1 history.
Why it matters:
The 2026 season introduces entirely new cars and engines, marking a step into the unknown. Vasseur sees this as a prime opportunity for Ferrari to end its long F1 title drought, despite the high degree of unpredictability.
The Engine Shift:
The new power units will feature a roughly 50-50 split in performance between the internal combustion engine and electrical energy. This shift means:
- Engine performance will prioritize driveability and turbo lag over pure horsepower.
- Different engine characteristics could lead to varying performance levels across different track types (e.g., Monza vs. Monaco).
- Vasseur suggests this could bring back the excitement of the turbo and naturally aspirated engine era, with diverse engine strengths.
Chassis Opportunities:
Vasseur also hints at the potential for design "loopholes" on the chassis side, reminiscent of the double diffuser controversy, which could create unexpected competitive advantages.
Ferrari's Approach:
Under the leadership of new technical director Loic Serra, Ferrari is focusing on incremental gains rather than a "magic bullet." Vasseur emphasizes improving multiple car elements by small margins, believing this continuous development is key to closing the gap with top teams like McLaren.
Driver Perspectives:
Drivers share the uncertainty. Pierre Gasly (Alpine) highlights the need for intense preparation for the vastly different 2026 cars and driving styles during a short winter. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) notes that simulator development is so rapid that initial impressions are constantly evolving, potentially leading to a more "normal" outcome than first expected. George Russell (Mercedes) views 2026 as a significant change, anticipating a different style of racing without DRS and with battery extension for battles. He remains open-minded, stating that winning is his ultimate priority.
What's Next:
The rapidly evolving simulator data means teams and drivers must remain agile, continuously adapting their understanding of the 2026 regulations and the performance characteristics of the new cars.