Mercedes can clinch Constructors' Championship in Brazil this weekend

Mercedes can seal the 2026 Constructors' Championship at the Sao Paulo Grand Prix this weekend, just days after Kimi Antonelli became Formula 1's youngest world champion. The Silver Arrows lead Ferrari by 126 points with four rounds remaining, and only Ferrari can mathematically deny them.

Why it matters:

A title at Interlagos would end Mercedes' constructors' drought dating back to 2021 and cap a season in which Antonelli and George Russell have delivered the team's strongest campaign in years. It would also confirm Mercedes' return as a championship force.

The details:

• Mercedes win the title if they outscore Ferrari by three points or more in Brazil.
• The cleanest scenarios are a Mercedes one-two, first and third, or first and fourth. Any of those guarantees the crown.
• If Ferrari win, Mercedes can still clinch it by scoring heavily with both cars while the second Ferrari finishes lower down the order.
• There are 172 points left before Sao Paulo and 129 remaining after the weekend, so Mercedes have further chances in Las Vegas, Qatar and Abu Dhabi if needed.

What's next:

Mercedes do not need to win the race outright; they need a controlled weekend with both drivers ahead of Ferrari's threat. Ferrari must attack and hope for a Mercedes stumble to keep the constructors' fight alive.